Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

$1.4M 24h vol·closes 1 day·generated 0s ago

Calibrated p

57.5%

Market 57.5%

Edge vs market

+0.0pp

no edgeconf 18%

Confidence

18%

Kelly fraction

0.0%

Raw blend

57.5%

Signals

Position size · Kellycap ±25%

-25-20-15-10-50+5+10+15+20+25

+0.0%of bankroll

The signals

Every input that fed the blend, sorted by confidence weight.

market_prior

0ms

57.5%w 81%

Market quotes YES at 57.5% on $1379k 24h volume, 0.6 days to close.

quant_election

0ms

57.5%w 0%

Election quant module pending poll-aggregator backfill — abstaining.